12 hours: Minimal fire behavior overnight. Winds along the ridgetops will return from the northeast and gradually increase, peaking at 5 to 8 mph with gusts to 15 mph. A thermal belt will develop again overnight, however, expecting moderate RH recoveries with values in the 40s and 50s.

24 hours: Fire behavior indices will still hover around the 65th percentile. The warming and drying trend will continue. Warm and dry conditions will prevail into Wednesday with continuing moderate RH recoveries. A dry cold front will sweep through late Wednesday, resulting in a fast switch of winds initially from the northwest and coming from the northeast overnight. In addition, expecting a brief uptick in winds with speeds of 8-12 mph, gusts to 18 mph.

48 hours: Fuels will continue to dry with a resulting increase in fire behavior. Fire behavior indices will still be at or around the 70th percentile but are on the rise towards seasonal averages. The seasonal average for mid-September is only the 77th percentile, so much lower than during initial fire spread. Above normal temperatures will persist into Thursday. RH recoveries will continue to gradually improve. Moisture from a remnant weather system will push northward across California. The Log Fires will be at the northwest extent of this moisture. As such, wetting rains look unlikely at this time.

72 hours: A moisture plume will continue to trek to the northeast, staying along the periphery. While some light precipitation is anticipated, it will not be a wetting rain. Conditions will moderate due to the moist conditions. Gusty winds may cause spread with remaining heat, but any spread will be very limited by high fuel moisture and low fire behavior indices. Little heat remains and no major spread is expected.

Anticipated after 72 hours: Conditions will gradually warm and dry once again by Saturday. Afternoon RH values will fall into the 20s and 30s with temperatures holding at or above normal. Models are hinting at more moisture arriving around next weekend, which will further reduce the threat. There may be another storm in approximately 7-10 days.